Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-60.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-42.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $31.25 | -83.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $132.92 | -29.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $69.63 | -63.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $51.78 | -72.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $84.74 | -55.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $136.05 | -27.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $74.25 | -60.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, EXPD appears overvalued at the current price of $188.27. The base case fair value of $74.25 implies 60.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.