Expedia Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-26.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-5.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
141.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3743.60 | 1075.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $301.04 | -5.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $734.84 | 130.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $60.80 | -80.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $221.52 | -30.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $804.70 | 152.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $248.44 | -22.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, EXPE appears fairly valued at the current price of $318.50. The base case fair value of $301.04 implies 5.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.