Extra Space Storage Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-64.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-28.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $48.05 | -67.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $66.46 | -54.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $26.63 | -81.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $79.86 | -45.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $113.97 | -22.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $166.47 | 13.3% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, EXR appears overvalued at the current price of $146.89. The base case fair value of $73.16 implies 50.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.