First Carolina Financial Services
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-61.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-40.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.59 | -79.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $4.84 | -61.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $10.16 | -19.2% | High (80%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, FCBM appears overvalued at the current price of $12.58. The base case fair value of $4.84 implies 61.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.