First Commonwealth Financial Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-40.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-7.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-2.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-8.16 | -137.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.72 | -8.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $20.06 | -6.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.54 | 9.5% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, FCF appears overvalued at the current price of $21.51. The base case fair value of $19.89 implies 7.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.