Ferguson plc
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-77.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-59.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-52.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $116.02 | -52.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $202.18 | -17.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $86.76 | -64.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $46.36 | -81.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $34.95 | -85.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $113.57 | -53.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, FERG appears overvalued at the current price of $244.98. The base case fair value of $100.17 implies 59.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.