Five Below, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-48.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-30.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $50.79 | -78.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $148.64 | -37.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $248.32 | 4.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $84.16 | -64.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $121.87 | -48.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $183.14 | -23.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $96.92 | -59.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, FIVE appears overvalued at the current price of $238.56. The base case fair value of $121.87 implies 48.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.