Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-89.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-78.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-46.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $159.25 | -91.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $786.68 | -58.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2701.84 | 43.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $251.74 | -86.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $408.62 | -78.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1221.99 | -35.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $161.30 | -91.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, FIX appears overvalued at the current price of $1881.18. The base case fair value of $408.62 implies 78.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.