First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-39.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.22 | -96.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $40.74 | -35.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $14.30 | -77.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.26 | -43.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $42.95 | -31.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $61.89 | -1.6% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, FR appears overvalued at the current price of $62.90. The base case fair value of $38.00 implies 39.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.