Freshpet, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-77.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-36.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-4.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-3.10 | -104.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $69.84 | -3.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $142.95 | 96.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $46.02 | -36.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $35.20 | -51.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $69.08 | -4.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-5.48 | -107.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, FRPT appears overvalued at the current price of $72.65. The base case fair value of $46.02 implies 36.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.