FirstService Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-66.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-64.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-28.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $36.94 | -73.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $51.89 | -62.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $47.14 | -66.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $48.62 | -65.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $115.35 | -17.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $147.73 | 5.6% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, FSV appears overvalued at the current price of $139.87. The base case fair value of $50.25 implies 64.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.