Formula One Group
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-85.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-61.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-41.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-2.50 | -102.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $29.93 | -68.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $101.22 | 8.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.84 | -61.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $46.16 | -50.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $62.88 | -32.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-4.52 | -104.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, FWONA appears overvalued at the current price of $93.46. The base case fair value of $35.84 implies 61.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.