Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-59.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-42.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $5.47 | -48.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $6.80 | -35.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $8.14 | -23.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $0.62 | -94.2% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 4 out of 7 methods, FWRG appears overvalued at the current price of $10.60. The base case fair value of $6.14 implies 42.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.