Griffon Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-34.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-28.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-628.29 | -714.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $78.30 | -23.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $67.26 | -34.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $12.74 | -87.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $63.15 | -38.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $126.91 | 24.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $68.28 | -33.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GFF appears overvalued at the current price of $102.18. The base case fair value of $67.26 implies 34.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.