Graco Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-58.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-34.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15.99 | -80.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $61.33 | -24.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $40.12 | -50.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $33.73 | -58.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $45.17 | -44.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $74.19 | -9.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $34.74 | -57.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GGG appears overvalued at the current price of $81.55. The base case fair value of $40.12 implies 50.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.