Green Plains Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
7.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
29.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
60.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $16.54 | 2.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $27.28 | 69.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $21.91 | 35.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $19.83 | 22.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $4.64 | -71.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $35.02 | 116.9% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, GPRE appears undervalued at the current price of $16.14. The base case fair value of $20.87 implies 29.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.