Guidewire Software, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-95.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-84.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-74.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-0.78 | -100.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $47.15 | -72.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $39.98 | -76.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $26.97 | -84.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $10.30 | -94.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $60.82 | -64.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5.96 | -96.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GWRE appears overvalued at the current price of $171.99. The base case fair value of $26.97 implies 84.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.