Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Guidewire Software, Inc.
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-85.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-79.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-58.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $31.09 | -79.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $41.80 | -72.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $131.61 | -13.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $22.80 | -85.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $20.33 | -86.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $85.66 | -43.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $2.68 | -98.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, GWRE appears overvalued at the current price of $152.15. The base case fair value of $31.09 implies 79.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.