Hayward Holdings, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-25.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-4.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.01 | -72.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $14.32 | -3.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $10.80 | -26.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $11.07 | -25.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $13.93 | -5.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $18.86 | 27.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $8.05 | -45.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HAYW appears overvalued at the current price of $14.76. The base case fair value of $11.07 implies 25.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.