Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-45.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-42.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-31.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $51.03 | -42.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $61.52 | -31.1% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $49.01 | -45.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $3.49 | -96.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $64.86 | -27.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 5 out of 7 methods, HCC appears overvalued at the current price of $89.35. The base case fair value of $51.03 implies 42.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.