Healthcare Services Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-47.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-23.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
85.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.27 | -89.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $38.05 | 76.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $103.39 | 378.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $16.47 | -23.7% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $11.91 | -44.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $41.85 | 93.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.72 | -50.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HCSG appears fairly valued at the current price of $21.59. The base case fair value of $16.47 implies 23.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.