Heritage Financial Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-45.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
3.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
31.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-12.02 | -140.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $25.52 | -13.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $47.39 | 60.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.89 | 21.3% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, HFWA appears fairly valued at the current price of $29.60. The base case fair value of $30.71 implies 3.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.