Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-71.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-11.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
48.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-518.49 | -1254.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $39.79 | -11.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $48.96 | 9.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $26.15 | -41.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $84.43 | 88.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $93.88 | 109.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-0.21 | -100.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HGV appears fairly valued at the current price of $44.92. The base case fair value of $39.79 implies 11.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.