Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-75.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-67.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-61.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-88.92 | -127.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $127.81 | -60.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $74.95 | -77.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $121.57 | -62.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $170.08 | -47.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $93.58 | -71.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, HLT appears overvalued at the current price of $326.12. The base case fair value of $107.58 implies 67.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.