Hallador Energy Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-96.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-91.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-52.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-18.57 | -214.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $0.25 | -98.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1.53 | -90.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $1.29 | -92.0% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $24.07 | 48.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $9.82 | -39.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, HNRG appears overvalued at the current price of $16.19. The base case fair value of $1.41 implies 91.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.