Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
10.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
32.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
53.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-13.21 | -148.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $30.59 | 13.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $41.73 | 54.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $29.60 | 9.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $50.56 | 87.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $41.04 | 51.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, HOG appears undervalued at the current price of $27.03. The base case fair value of $35.81 implies 32.5% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.