Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
47.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
76.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
95.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $48.51 | 97.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $33.97 | 38.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $46.19 | 88.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $34.79 | 41.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $64.50 | 162.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $40.40 | 64.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, HOG appears undervalued at the current price of $24.55. The base case fair value of $43.29 implies 76.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.