Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
53.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
101.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
413.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $52.80 | 54.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $84.91 | 148.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $446.54 | 1206.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $50.83 | 48.7% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, HRTG appears undervalued at the current price of $34.17. The base case fair value of $68.86 implies 101.5% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.