The Hershey Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-41.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-14.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
28.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $1293.24 | 614.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $134.53 | -25.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $61.26 | -66.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $95.96 | -47.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $250.10 | 38.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $176.59 | -2.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, HSY appears fairly valued at the current price of $181.06. The base case fair value of $155.56 implies 14.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.