H2O America
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-54.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-28.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-18.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-182.35 | -388.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.51 | -32.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $23.82 | -62.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $52.38 | -17.1% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $89.55 | 41.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $48.05 | -24.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, HTO appears overvalued at the current price of $63.21. The base case fair value of $45.28 implies 28.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.