HubSpot, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-82.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-33.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $29.50 | -86.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $71.74 | -66.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $214.09 | -0.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $50.70 | -76.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $45.89 | -78.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $299.83 | 39.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $20.98 | -90.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HUBS appears overvalued at the current price of $215.24. The base case fair value of $50.70 implies 76.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.