Installed Building Products, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-23.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $79.86 | -67.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $174.35 | -28.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $532.63 | 118.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $74.27 | -69.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $198.36 | -18.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $29.89 | -87.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $119.88 | -50.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, IBP appears overvalued at the current price of $243.54. The base case fair value of $119.88 implies 50.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.