Samsara Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-98.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-95.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-93.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.97 | -97.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $2.53 | -93.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $2.36 | -93.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $0.44 | -98.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $8.19 | -79.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $0.30 | -99.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, IOT appears overvalued at the current price of $39.00. The base case fair value of $1.67 implies 95.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.