Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-48.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-29.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-24.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $885.27 | 211.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $213.79 | -24.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $132.63 | -53.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $52.33 | -81.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $159.09 | -44.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $199.88 | -29.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $214.74 | -24.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ITW appears overvalued at the current price of $284.66. The base case fair value of $199.88 implies 29.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.