Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-49.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-26.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
24.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $45.90 | -69.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $181.25 | 20.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $190.42 | 27.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $68.51 | -54.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $109.69 | -26.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $199.22 | 32.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $82.81 | -44.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, JKHY appears fairly valued at the current price of $149.87. The base case fair value of $109.69 implies 26.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.