Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
ST JOE Co
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-50.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-47.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-42.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $32.53 | -50.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $32.63 | -50.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $38.56 | -41.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $25.35 | -61.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $36.11 | -44.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $69.66 | 6.5% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, JOE appears overvalued at the current price of $65.38. The base case fair value of $34.37 implies 47.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.