Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-32.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
18.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $63.50 | -65.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $238.97 | 28.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $840.00 | 352.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $124.92 | -32.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $200.76 | 8.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $108.28 | -41.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.36 | -93.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, KALU appears fairly valued at the current price of $185.50. The base case fair value of $124.92 implies 32.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.