Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-91.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-80.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-52.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-5.54 | -108.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $10.56 | -84.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $45.97 | -30.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $16.77 | -74.6% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $71.08 | 7.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1.21 | -98.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.68 | -80.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, KGS appears overvalued at the current price of $66.12. The base case fair value of $12.68 implies 80.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.