CarMax, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-104.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-41.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
56.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-266.33 | -555.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $30.22 | -48.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $38.06 | -35.0% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $109.26 | 86.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $135.04 | 130.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-13.75 | -123.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, KMX appears fairly valued at the current price of $58.53. The base case fair value of $34.14 implies 41.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.