LGI Homes, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-84.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-16.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
20.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-33.77 | -157.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $53.49 | -8.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $76.14 | 29.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $44.33 | -24.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $112.99 | 92.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-2.45 | -104.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, LGIH appears fairly valued at the current price of $58.62. The base case fair value of $48.91 implies 16.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.