Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
ELI LILLY & Co
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-64.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-14.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $1273.43 | 11.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $668.76 | -41.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2805.16 | 146.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $141.20 | -87.6% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $279.73 | -75.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $408.43 | -64.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $321.97 | -71.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, LLY appears overvalued at the current price of $1137.82. The base case fair value of $408.43 implies 64.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.