Liquidity Services, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-71.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-62.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-10.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.67 | -75.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.14 | -55.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $57.31 | 34.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $12.28 | -71.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $16.12 | -62.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $58.18 | 36.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.87 | -72.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, LQDT appears overvalued at the current price of $42.71. The base case fair value of $16.12 implies 62.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.