Southwest Airlines Co.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-40.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-31.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-29.89 | -165.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $31.54 | -30.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $30.33 | -33.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.28 | -48.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $41.41 | -8.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $8.08 | -82.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, LUV appears overvalued at the current price of $45.38. The base case fair value of $26.81 implies 40.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.