LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-26.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
33.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
63.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $805.98 | 33.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $879.41 | 46.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1259.54 | 109.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $378.42 | -37.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $512.72 | -14.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1086.26 | 80.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $306.34 | -49.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, LVMHF appears fairly valued at the current price of $602.16. The base case fair value of $805.98 implies 33.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.