LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-6.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
79.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $325.91 | -40.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $823.90 | 50.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1212.73 | 121.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $365.97 | -33.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $512.72 | -6.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1139.44 | 107.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $293.95 | -46.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, LVMHF appears fairly valued at the current price of $548.03. The base case fair value of $512.72 implies 6.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.