Marriott International, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-55.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-53.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-128.60 | -133.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $178.31 | -53.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $111.21 | -71.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $167.15 | -56.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $231.96 | -39.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $177.32 | -53.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MAR appears overvalued at the current price of $383.06. The base case fair value of $172.24 implies 55.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.