Mattel, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
18.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
54.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
69.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-11.31 | -177.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $25.15 | 72.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $22.47 | 54.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $14.55 | -0.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $24.33 | 66.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $39.38 | 170.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $19.96 | 36.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MAT appears undervalued at the current price of $14.58. The base case fair value of $22.47 implies 54.1% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.