Matson, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-40.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-2.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-45.91 | -120.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $289.44 | 31.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $131.86 | -40.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $166.00 | -24.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $261.04 | 18.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $73.41 | -66.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $119.50 | -45.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, MATX appears overvalued at the current price of $219.95. The base case fair value of $131.86 implies 40.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.