MediaAlpha, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
57.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
107.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
1424.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $626.98 | 4840.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $26.35 | 107.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $193.46 | 1424.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $1.64 | -87.1% | Low (10%) |
| EV/FCF | $20.01 | 57.7% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, MAX appears undervalued at the current price of $12.69. The base case fair value of $26.35 implies 107.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.