Moelis & Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-72.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-57.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-30.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $6.23 | -90.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $34.71 | -48.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $82.68 | 23.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $22.60 | -66.1% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, MC appears overvalued at the current price of $66.73. The base case fair value of $28.66 implies 57.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.