Moody's Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-65.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-55.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-44.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $233.44 | -51.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $190.63 | -60.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $355.26 | -25.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $89.59 | -81.2% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, MCO appears overvalued at the current price of $477.17. The base case fair value of $212.04 implies 55.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.