Mercury General Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
16.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
56.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
103.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $109.01 | 2.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $204.66 | 92.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $249.78 | 134.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $128.90 | 21.2% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, MCY appears undervalued at the current price of $106.38. The base case fair value of $166.78 implies 56.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.