Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-13.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-3.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
59.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $20.23 | -24.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $28.24 | 5.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $23.26 | -13.2% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $47.61 | 77.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $56.65 | 111.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $23.39 | -12.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MGY appears fairly valued at the current price of $26.79. The base case fair value of $25.82 implies 3.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.